Estimation of spatially continuous daytime particulate matter concentrations under all sky conditions through the synergistic use of satellite-based AOD and numerical models.

Affiliation

School of Urban & Environmental Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, Republic of Korea. Electronic address: [Email]

Abstract

Satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD) products are one of main predictors to estimate ground-level particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) concentrations. Since AOD products, however, are only provided under high-quality conditions, missing values usually exist in areas such as clouds, cloud shadows, and bright surfaces. In this study, spatially continuous AOD and subsequent PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations were estimated over East Asia using satellite- and model-based data and auxiliary data in a Random Forest (RF) approach. Data collected from the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI; 8 times per day) in 2016 were used to develop AOD and PM models. Three schemes (i.e. G1, A1, and A2) were proposed for AOD modeling according to target AOD data (GOCI AOD and AERONET AOD) and the existence of satellite-derived AOD. The A2 scheme showed the best performance (validation R2 of 0.74 and prediction R2 of 0.73 when GOCI AOD did not exist) and the resultant AOD was used to estimate spatially continuous PM concentrations. The PM models with location information produced successful estimation results with R2 of 0.88 and 0.90, and rRMSE of 26.9 and 27.2% for PM10 and PM2.5, respectively. The spatial distribution maps of PM well captured the seasonal and spatial characteristics of PM reported in the literature, which implies the proposed approaches can be adopted for an operational estimation of spatially continuous AOD and PMs under all sky conditions.

Keywords

AOD,Machine learning,Particulate matter,Random Forest,Satellite,

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